Logistic Regression
Logistic regression is a techique for predicting a Bernoulli (i.e., 0,1-valued) random variable from a set of continuous dependent variables. See the Wikipedia article on Logistic regression for a simple description. Another generalized logistic model that can be used for this purpose is the Probit_Regression model. These differ in functional form, with the logistic regression using a logit function to link the linear predictor to the predicted probability, while the probit model uses a cumulative normal for the same.
Logistic_Regression( Y,B,I,K )
(Requires Analytica Optimizer)
The Logistic_regression function returns the best-fit coefficients, c, for a model of the form [math]\displaystyle{ logit(p_i) = ln\left( {{p_i}\over{1-p_i}} \right) = \sum_k c_k B_{i,k} }[/math] given a data set basis B, with each sample classified as y_i, having a classification of 0 or 1.
The syntax is the same as for the Regression function. The basis may be of a generalized linear form, that is, each term in the basis may be an arbitrary non-linear function of your data; however, the logit of the prediction is a linear combination of these.
Once you have used the Logistic_Regression function to compute the coefficients for your model, the predictive model that results returns the probability that a given data point is classified as 1.
Library
Generalized Regression.ana
Example
Suppose you want to predict the probability that a particular treatment for diabetes is effective given several lab test results. Data is collected for patients who have undergone the treatment, as follows, where the variable Test_results contains lab test data and Treatment_effective is set to 0 or 1 depending on whether the treatment was effective or not for that patient:
Using the data directly as the regression basis, the logistic regression coefficients are computed using:
Variable c := Logistic_regression( Treatment_effective, Test_results, Patient_ID, Lab_test )
We can obtain the predicted probability for each patient in this testing set using:
Variable Prob_Effective := InvLogit( Sum( c*Test_results, Lab_Test ))
If we have lab tests for a new patient, say New_Patient_Tests, in the form of a vector indexed by Lab_Test, we can predict the probability that treatment will be effective using:
InvLogit( Sum( c*New_patient_tests, Lab_test ) )
See Also
- Probit_Regression
- Regression, RegressionDist : When Y is continuous, with normally-distributed error
- Poisson_Regression : When Y models a count (number of events that occur)
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