Mandatory vs Voluntary testing policies

Example model

Voluntary vs mandatory testing.png

Description: A Navy wants to compare two COVID-19 testing policies. In the first, all crew members must take a COVID-19 test before boarding a ship, and those with a positive test cannot board. In the second policy, testing is encouraged but voluntary -- each sailor has an option of being tested before boarding. This model computes the rate of infection among those allowed to board under the two scenarios, based on prevalence rates, test accuracies and voluntary testing rates. It also examines the probability of achieving zero infections on board, and the sensitivity of the results to input parameter estimates. This model is described in a blog posting.

Author: Lonnie Chrisman, Lumina Decision Systems

Download: Voluntary vs mandatory testing.ana

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