COVID-19 State Simulator, a Systems Dynamics approach

Example model

COVID-State-Simulator.png

Description: A systems dynamics style SICR model of the COVID-19 outbreak within the state of Colorado. It simulates the progression of the outbreak into the future, examining the expected impact on ventilator (compared to levels available), forecasts number of sick and number of deaths, and also the risk reduction that a "lock down" has based on the date of the start of the lock down and the amount of reduction in social interaction. A Lumidyne blog article describes the model and conclusions ascertained from it.

Author: Cory Welch, president and founder of Lumidyne Consulting, LLC.

Download: COVID Model 2020--03-25.ana

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